Experts say that speculation in speculative agricultural products may come one after another.

Garlic mung beans have just fallen on the stage and ginger has debuted again. Left-chong right-clicking causes agricultural product prices to rise round Which attracts people's attention next time Garlic and mung beans have finally cooled down with the temperature when they have been stir-fried. Ginger, lotus seeds and other products began to “high fever”. The retail price of ginger in the wholesale market in Guangzhou rose by as much as 10% in two weeks. Experts said that the ups and downs of garlic and mung beans and the recent skyrocketing prices of ginger and lotus seeds have shown signs of capital rotation and recently, hot money has begun to shift the battlefield.

Retail market

Guangzhou Ginger Retail Price Rise 10% in Two Weeks

Yesterday, in the Jiangnan vegetable and fruit wholesale market in Guangzhou, the reporter saw a stall in District C being particularly busy. The workers were moving a bag of ginger into the stall. The owner, Roger, was busy in a crowded place and put down a new place. Ginger. Previously, garlic was also one of the products in Roger's stalls, and now it is almost impossible to see the shadow of garlic. Roger told reporters that in the last two or three months, garlic prices have fallen, and ginger prices have continued to rise slightly during the process, and they have started to specialize in ginger business.

Roger told reporters that in Shandong Changyi, good-quality big meat ginger, for example, the current wholesale price is about 5 yuan/jin, and between two and three months ago, the price was between 4.5 yuan/kg, an increase of about 10%. .

The rise in upstream wholesale prices has led to the follow-up of downstream retail prices. Ginger prices have risen sharply since July. The wholesale price of ginger in the wholesale market in Guangzhou has increased from 4.5 yuan/kg to 5 yuan/kg, while the retail price has increased from 6 yuan/kg to 7.5 yuan/kg.

Sister Wang, who runs vegetables in a community in Haizhu District, told reporters: “When I went to get goods two weeks ago, ginger was only 6 yuan a pound, and she bought it for 6.5 yuan a pound, but the two-day wholesale price had risen to 6.5 yuan. A pound, the retail will sell 7 yuan a pound." And in the nearby supermarket, the reporter saw the price of big meat ginger is 7.5 yuan / kg.

The price of mung bean and garlic dropped sharply, and the price of ginger rose sharply. At the same time, the mung bean and garlic that soared in price in the previous period suddenly lost their magic and the price dropped sharply.

In a stall in Guangzhou Xintianyu Cereals and Oils Wholesale Market, the reporter learned that at the peak of the previous period, the wholesale price of mung bean reached 10 yuan/kg, and it has now dropped to 7.5 yuan/kg, which has fallen by as much as 25% in more than one month. "After the price dropped, mung beans are also not easy to sell." Hao Ying, who specializes in the wholesale business of beans and grains, told reporters. In Hao Ying's shop, the reporter saw many beans and grains such as green beans, red kidney beans, peas, and oatmeal. The only price increase was peanuts. “The wholesale price of peanuts is now 3.4 yuan/kg, which is higher than before. 5 cents a pound, but still a substantial decline over the same period last year, last year's peanut prices at 3.9 yuan / kg or so. "Hao Ying believes that mung bean demand and prices fell, mainly due to shrinking demand:" The weather is not so hot There are fewer people who eat mung bean syrup."

Cooling together with garlic, in the Jiangnan vegetable and fruit wholesale market in Guangzhou, the shopkeepers told reporters that the wholesale price of garlic once reached 7.5 yuan/kg two or three months ago, but it has now fallen to 6 yuan/kg, and the drop is also as high as 20 %. The consumption of garlic is not seasonal, and the drop in demand is obviously closely related to the shift of hot money.

Origin situation

Foreign Vendors Acquired and Accelerated Price Increases in Production Areas Shandong ginger production accounted for 20% of the country’s total production. Anqiu City, Shandong Province, ginger and garlic wholesale market is one of the country's largest wholesale ginger and garlic market, the market daily trading volume of ginger is about 200 tons.

Liu Xintai, the wholesaler here, told this reporter that the wholesale market price of ginger has risen by nearly 1 yuan per kilogram from mid-July to the present. He believes that the sharp increase in the price of ginger is due to the large number of foreign merchants accumulating ginger. He explained that the rise in price was only Huang Jiang, because this ginger can be stored for a long time. In mid-July, the price of turmeric was only 3 yuan/kg, but it has now risen to 3.7 to 4 yuan/kg. Because fresh ginger cannot be stored for a long time, the price has remained stable at around 2.5 yuan/kg. In addition, Weihai produced the largest increase in ginger, the quality of ginger is less than Anqiu local ginger, the price has been relatively low, but the foreign traders do not understand this, has Weihai ginger to the same price as local ginger local Anqiu.

Liu Xintai told reporters that rumors concerning fried ginger customers are circulating in the market. Many people think that customers from Jiangsu and Zhejiang have come here to buy a lot of goods.

However, in the process of rising ginger, he did not make much benefit, he is now 3.7 to 3.8 yuan / kg purchase, and then sold 3.8 to 4 yuan / kg. The daily stall volume is about 3 tons and the gross profit is about 600 yuan. "When the price rises, the gross profit per kilogram will be higher than 1 cent. Now that the price has stabilized, the gross profit has returned to its original level, but if the price drops, it may lose money."

Compared with wholesalers, the days of those ginger buyers who walk around the village are even harder. Jiang Xingzeng, a businessman who collected ginger in Weihai, played cards at home yesterday. He told reporters that ginger is now out of order and farmers are not willing to sell, asking for a price of 4 yuan a pound, but they can only get 3.8 yuan a pound, so there is no one Willing to sell.

Accepting Ginger Wang Hongjiang said that some time ago, a number of powerful businessmen came to Shandong to collect ginger, usually one vehicle at a time, and one car was 30,000 pounds. “The price they give out is often five cents higher than ours. ,” said Wang Hongjiang. “People say that ginger cuts production but in fact we have not cut production here.”

Expert interpretation

The prices of agricultural products have been expected to rise at the same time as the price of ginger has risen. The prices of lotus seeds have also skyrocketed. The reporter discovered that the price of fresh Qinglian was RMB 4/kg last year and that it had risen to RMB 10 this year. jin.

Li Changping, an expert on agriculture, rural areas and farmers, told reporters that the reason why the price of agricultural products increased rapidly was that relative to other commodities, the price of agricultural products has risen significantly lower over the years, causing all parties in the market to rise.

Li Changping summed up the common characteristics of these kinds of stir-fried varieties: concentrated production, storage, long growth cycle, small per capita daily demand, high prices will not hurt the bones and so on. Similar varieties are pepper, cinnamon, cumin, lotus seeds and so on. The funds needed to hype these small breeds are not large, and this hype may come and go.

Li Changping believes that in order to control the rise of agricultural products, apart from directly controlling prices, it is necessary to reform the circulation system of agricultural products. At present, middlemen can easily separate producers and consumers and monopolize pricing rights. Producers and consumers have no say over prices. The government should support the peasants and consumers to form a coalition of purchases and sales, and have more say in the pricing process.